Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of November 28th, 2017
Clarksville, TN – Next week, the economic calendar picks back up and the Senate returns to work on its version of a tax-cut bill.
However, the focus is expected to be on Jay Powell’s Fed chair nomination hearing. Powell is unlikely to speak about the near-term policy outlook (what the Fed will do in December), but lawmakers will ask about his broader approach to monetary policy and banking regulation (expect vigorous questioning from Senator Warren, but he should eventually receive approval in a full Senate vote).
Components of 3Q17 GDP have been mixed, but we’re likely to see an upward revision to the third quarter growth estimate.
Personal income and spending figures will help to fill in the picture of early 4Q17.
Indices
| Last | Last Week | YTD return % | |
| DJIA | 23526.18 | 23458.36 | 19.04% |
| NASDAQ | 6867.36 | 6793.29 | 27.57% |
| S&P 500 | 2597.08 | 2585.64 | 16.00% |
| MSCI EAFE | 2013.95 | 1985.58 | 19.59% |
| Russell 2000 | 1516.76 | 1486.88 | 11.76% |
Consumer Money Rates
| Last | 1 year ago | |
| Prime Rate | 4.25 | 3.50 |
| Fed Funds | 1.16 | 0.41 |
| 30-year mortgage | 3.96 | 4.18 |
Currencies
| Last | 1 year ago | |
| Dollars per British Pound | 1.331 | 1.245 |
| Dollars per Euro | 1.185 | 1.055 |
| Japanese Yen per Dollar | 111.22 | 113.33 |
| Canadian Dollars per Dollar | 1.271 | 1.349 |
| Mexican Peso per Dollar | 18.624 | 20.744 |
Commodities
| Last | 1 year ago | |
| Crude Oil | 58.02 | 46.06 |
| Gold | 1296.80 | 1181.00 |
Bond Rates
| Last | 1 month ago | |
| 2-year treasury | 1.72 | 1.62 |
| 10-year treasury | 2.33 | 2.46 |
| 10-year municipal (TEY) | 3.22 | 3.14 |
Treasury Yield Curve – 11/24/2017
As of close of business 11/23/2017
S&P Sector Performance (YTD) – 11/24/2017
As of close of business 11/23/2017
Economic Calendar
| November 27 | — | New Home Sales (October) |
| November 28 | — | CB Consumer Confidence (November) |
| — | Powell Nomination Hearing | |
| November 29 | — | Real GDP (3Q17, 2nd estimate) |
| — | Pending Home Sales Index (October) | |
| — | Fed Beige Book | |
| November 30 | — | Jobless Claims (week ending November 25) |
| — | Personal Income and Spending (October) | |
| December 1 | — | ISM Manufacturing Index |
| — | Motor Vehicle Sales (November) | |
| December 8 | — | Employment Report (November) |
| December 13 | — | Consumer Price Index (November) |
| — | FOMC Policy Decision (Yellen press conference) | |
| December 14 | — | Retail Sales (November) |
| December 25 | — | Christmas Holiday |
Important Disclosures
[320left]Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. There are special risks involved with global investing related to market and currency fluctuations, economic and political instability, and different financial accounting standards. The above material has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. There is no assurance that any trends mentioned will continue in the future. While interest on municipal bonds is generally exempt from federal income tax, it may be subject to the federal alternative minimum tax, state or local taxes. In addition, certain municipal bonds (such as Build America Bonds) are issued without a federal tax exemption, which subjects the related interest income to federal income tax. Investing involves risk and investors may incur a profit or a loss.
US government bonds and treasury bills are guaranteed by the US government and, if held to maturity, offer a fixed rate of return and guaranteed principal value. US government bonds are issued and guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest by the federal government. Treasury bills are certificates reflecting short-term (less than one year) obligations of the US government.
Commodities trading is generally considered speculative because of the significant potential for investment loss. Markets for commodities are likely to be volatile and there may be sharp price fluctuations even during periods when prices overall are rising. Specific sector investing can be subject to different and greater risks than more diversified investments.
Tax Equiv Muni yields (TEY) assume a 35% tax rate on triple-A rated, tax-exempt insured revenue bonds.
Material prepared by Raymond James for use by its financial advisors.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Data source: Bloomberg, as of close of business November 23rd, 2017.













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